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July, 2020 CA Sales & Price Statistics

U.S. home sales rose a record-breaking 24.7% in July, extending June’s rebound after the coronavirus pandemic all but froze the housing market this spring.

National Association of Realtors said Friday that sales of existing homes jumped last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.86 million. With two straight months of record-breaking gains, purchases are now up 8.7% from a year ago. Home sales rose 20.7% in June, a record that lasted one month.

Home buyers who didn’t enterprise out a lot in March and April when the coronavirus exploded are returning to the market. With lockdowns easing, summer season has changed spring this 12 months because the strongest shopping for season. The pandemic additionally spurred some households to maneuver nearer to household or into larger houses farther from cities now that many staff aren’t commuting daily.

The following is the CA home sales.

July-20Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family HomesSales
State/Region/CountyJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
CA SFH (SAAR)$666,320$626,170 $607,990 6.4%9.6%28.8%6.4%
CA Condo/Townhomes$500,000$486,250 $470,000 2.8%6.4%33.4%6.2%
Los Angeles Metropolitan Area$590,000$553,000 $550,000 6.7%7.3%23.8%4.2%
Central Coast$785,000$736,500 $685,000 6.6%14.6%33.1%21.9%
Central Valley$377,720$365,000 $345,250 3.5%9.4%15.2%6.6%
Inland Empire$420,000$410,000 $380,000 2.4%10.5%24.0%11.8%
S.F. Bay Area$1,050,000$1,000,000 $950,000 5.0%10.5%26.1%14.8%
          
S.F. Bay AreaJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Alameda$1,027,500$976,000 $950,000 5.3%8.2%28.4%6.5%
Contra Costa$785,000$750,500 $660,000 4.6%18.9%27.5%15.3%
Marin$1,545,500$1,490,000 $1,257,000 3.7%23.0%27.0%35.8%
Napa$782,500$725,000 $685,000 7.9%14.2%79.8%28.0%
San Francisco$1,665,000$1,805,000 $1,600,000 -7.8%4.1%28.8%1.4%
San Mateo$1,719,440$1,735,000 $1,562,500 -0.9%10.0%25.5%13.5%
Santa Clara$1,380,000$1,382,000 $1,298,000 -0.1%6.3%18.5%12.5%
Solano$499,750$496,750 $465,000 0.6%7.5%12.7%8.7%
Sonoma$714,950$708,800 $655,000 0.9%9.2%34.9%36.5%
Southern CaliforniaJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Los Angeles$653,570$610,270 $611,230 7.1%6.9%15.5%-2.1%
Orange$880,000$870,000 $839,450 1.1%4.8%39.6%2.2%
Riverside$462,000$450,000 $420,000 2.7%10.0%21.2%11.1%
San Bernardino$350,000$325,000 $312,000 7.7%12.2%28.7%13.0%
San Diego$719,000$678,000 $650,000 6.0%10.6%18.1%10.2%
Ventura$720,000$700,000 $685,000 2.9%5.1%32.0%1.3%
Central CoastJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Monterey$749,500$740,000 $651,780 1.3%15.0%80.8%41.6%
San Luis Obispo$659,000$645,500 $625,000 2.1%5.4%30.3%2.5%
Santa Barbara$900,000$671,750 $695,000 34.0%29.5%14.1%15.5%
Santa Cruz$985,000$905,000 $899,500 8.8%9.5%17.3%43.6%
Central ValleyJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Fresno$320,000$313,950 $284,400 1.9%12.5%7.4%1.8%
Glenn$257,500$295,000 $268,750 -12.7%-4.2%-33.3%0.0%
Kern$282,980$275,000 $263,000 2.9%7.6%20.5%5.7%
Kings$275,000$265,000 $254,750 3.8%7.9%0.0%-1.0%
Madera$313,850$300,000 $297,500 4.6%5.5%14.3%26.3%
Merced$319,900$300,000 $283,000 6.6%13.0%46.1%13.3%
Placer$550,000$515,000 $496,250 6.8%10.8%20.8%20.2%
Sacramento$422,740$417,000 $390,000 1.4%8.4%17.8%3.7%
San Benito$675,000$586,400 $570,000 15.1%18.4%43.1%37.7%
San Joaquin$410,000$415,000 $380,000 -1.2%7.9%27.6%6.9%
Stanislaus$360,000$355,000 $335,000 1.4%7.5%-0.8%-4.0%
Tulare$268,000$270,000 $245,000 -0.7%9.4%-1.1%8.5%
Other Counties in CaliforniaJul-20Jun-20 Jul-19 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Amador$355,000$337,500 $312,500 5.2%13.6%18.3%82.6%
Butte$395,000$390,000 $374,280 1.3%5.5%8.0%-0.5%
Calaveras$349,900$363,000 $325,500 -3.6%7.5%82.3%48.3%
Del Norte$332,000$242,000 $275,000 37.2%20.7%46.7%29.4%
El Dorado$550,000$510,000 $510,500 7.8%7.7%42.2%57.9%
Humboldt$349,000$317,000 $334,370 10.1%4.4%43.9%25.2%
Lake$307,000$322,500 $249,000 -4.8%23.3%23.0%9.2%
Lassen$205,000$225,000 $225,000 -8.9%-8.9%24.0%34.8%
Mariposa$425,000$370,400 $281,400 14.7%51.0%43.8%76.9%
Mendocino$485,000$425,000 $395,000 14.1%22.8%43.1%37.7%
Mono$669,500$720,000 $692,500 -7.0%-3.3%122.2%66.7%
Nevada$500,000$433,750 $445,000 15.3%12.4%31.5%59.0%
Plumas$350,000$305,000 $280,000 14.8%25.0%48.9%76.3%
Shasta$300,000$295,000 $286,000 1.7%4.9%21.8%27.5%
Siskiyou$253,000$213,500 $210,000 18.5%20.5%45.2%15.1%
Sutter$350,000$341,000 $315,000 2.6%11.1%11.1%-5.9%
Tehama$264,000$240,000 $255,000 10.0%3.5%28.9%13.7%
Tuolumne$325,000$305,000 $300,000 6.6%8.3%41.9%35.6%
Yolo$505,000$475,000 $485,000 6.3%4.1%12.0%16.1%
Yuba$343,750$328,950 $299,900 4.5%14.6%-8.5%-3.4%
7/2020 CA
南加内陆地区住房销售量下降

据地产资讯网站Zillow消息,南加内陆地区住房销售量在全美50个主要地区中降幅最多,河滨县、圣伯纳汀诺县截至7月25日,房屋销售量均下降42.1%,显示内陆住房交易市场形势令人担心。

消息称,无论是内陆帝国,还是全美其他地区,绝大多数的销售房屋屋主或房产经纪,多因担心新冠病毒感染而不愿意让顾客进入室内看屋,虽然避免了病毒传播,但对房屋销售却产生极大负面影响。除河滨县和圣伯纳纳汀诺县截至7月25日,房屋销售量均下降,其他是巴尔的摩(Baltimore)的42%,以及哈特福特(Hartford)的39.6%。

Zillow称,洛杉矶和橙县的房屋销售量降幅为27%,排在50个全美降幅最大地区的第21位。而全美住房销售量平均降幅是26%。

尽管房源有限,但南加州买方市场在疫情发生后,近期开始逐渐恢复,在过去14周中,在第13周时住房交易量开始增加。根据Zillow调查统计,南加州四县地区截至7月25日前一周,有3716个单位住宅进入公证交易(Escrow),过去12个月中增加了6.6%。这也是当地住房交易量在持续多次下降后,连续四年维持同期增幅势头。

Los Angeles County median home price jumped to record $640,000 as coronavirus hit

Los Angeles County set a new home-price record as coronavirus slammed the economy.

DQNews reports for March in Los Angeles County:

• $640,000 countywide median selling price — up 6.8% over 12 months. The latest median breaks the record of $635,000 set in July 2019.

• 5,684 homes sold, existing and new — down 1.5% in a year. Los Angeles County’s latest sales count is 30% off the March average of 8,171 since 1988. Most of these deals were in process before the virus hit.

Here are five things you should know about key market niches in the Los Angeles market in March …

1. Existing single-family houses: 3,872 sold, down 2.1% in a year. Median of $680,000 — a 7.9% rise over 12 months.

2. Existing condos: 1,560 sales, up 1.6% over 12 months. Median of $540,000 — a 3.8% rise in a year.

3. Newly built: Builders sold 252 new homes, down 9.7% in a year. Median of $697,000 — a 10.6% rise over 12 months.

4. Builder share: 4.4% of sales vs. 4.8% a year earlier. Los Angeles County builders’ slice of the market ranks No. 5 among SoCal’s six counties.

5. Price rank: How Los Angeles County’s median compared to Southern California’s five other counties: No. 2 overall; No. 2 for single-family resales; No. 1 for condo resales; and No. 2 for new homes.

Elsewhere in Southern California:

Orange County: 2,795 sold, up 6.1% over 12 months. Median of $755,000 — a 4.9% increase.

Riverside County: 3,640 sales, up 8.5%. Median? $405,000 — a 5.2% increase.

San Bernardino County: 2,493 sold, up 4.7%. Median? $363,091 — a 8.4% increase.

By 2020, all newly built homes in California will come with solar panels

In 2018, the California Energy Commission unanimously voted for the mandatory implementation of solar panels on virtually every newly built home in California.

This regulation has ensured that California will be the first state in the country to fully harness the sun’s power by 2020.

And although many have praised the landmark decision, some fear it will put a bigger financial strain on homeowners statewide, according to CNBC.

January 2019 County Sales and Price Activity

January 2019 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

January 2019Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family HomesSales
State/Region/CountyJan.2019Dec.2018 Jan.2018 Price MTM% ChgPrice YTY% ChgSales MTM% ChgSales YTY% Chg
Calif. Single-family home$538,690$557,600 $527,780 -3.4%2.1%-3.9%-12.6%
Calif. Condo/Townhome$434,080$450,000r$425,000 -3.5%2.1%-16.6%-13.7%
Los Angeles Metro Area$499,450$500,000 $490,000 -0.1%1.9%-18.9%-15.1%
Central Coast$620,990$687,450r$605,000 -9.7%2.6%-12.4%-18.1%
Central Valley$312,000$317,500 $305,000 -1.7%2.3%-19.8%-13.2%
Inland Empire$354,450$359,000 $350,000 -1.3%1.3%-12.5%-16.1%
San Francisco Bay Area$836,000$850,000 $800,000 -1.6%4.5%-24.3%-5.8%
          
San Francisco Bay Area         
Alameda$826,000$850,000 $840,000 -2.8%-1.7%-20.5%3.9%
Contra Costa$595,000$612,500 $555,000 -2.9%7.2%-27.7%-15.3%
Marin$1,149,500$1,270,500 $1,317,500 -9.5%-12.8%-30.5%-2.4%
Napa$672,500$725,000 $662,000 -7.2%1.6%-29.1%-26.3%
San Francisco$1,330,000$1,500,000 $1,330,000 -11.3%0.0%-38.9%3.2%
San Mateo$1,450,000$1,483,000 $1,437,500 -2.2%0.9%-25.6%9.9%
Santa Clara$1,185,000$1,150,000 $1,170,000 3.0%1.3%-23.3%-5.4%
Solano$428,000$425,000 $425,000 0.7%0.7%-20.6%-10.0%
Sonoma$650,000$639,000 $670,000 1.7%-3.0%-17.2%-8.7%
Southern California         
Los Angeles$566,010$588,140 $564,100 -3.8%0.3%-25.5%-14.2%
Orange$796,500$785,000 $780,000 1.5%2.1%-17.0%-13.2%
Riverside$400,000$398,000 $397,250 0.5%0.7%-14.9%-13.9%
San Bernardino$290,000$295,000 $277,000 -1.7%4.7%-8.5%-19.2%
San Diego$610,000$618,500 $590,000 -1.4%3.4%-17.0%-10.0%
Ventura$615,000$640,000 $660,720 -3.9%-6.9%-14.7%-20.1%
Central Coast         
Monterey$590,000$590,000 $571,500 0.0%3.2%12.9%-8.8%
San Luis Obispo$592,500$640,000 $565,000 -7.4%4.9%-14.4%-25.9%
Santa Barbara$687,100$784,540r$567,000 -12.4%21.2%-17.3%-6.9%
Santa Cruz$825,000$926,000 $790,000 -10.9%4.4%-34.2%-34.8%
Central Valley         
Fresno$270,000$266,500 $253,500 1.3%6.5%-21.7%-6.3%
Glenn$225,000$246,500 $228,500 -8.7%-1.5%-15.6%68.8%
Kern$240,000$242,380 $225,500 -1.0%6.4%-15.1%-0.8%
Kings$219,900$243,000 $238,000 -9.5%-7.6%-9.0%-1.4%
Madera$260,000$263,000 $275,000 -1.1%-5.5%-23.1%-7.2%
Merced$279,990$269,060 $257,000 4.1%8.9%-33.6%-24.3%
Placer$479,000$492,990r$446,000 -2.8%7.4%-21.9%-10.5%
Sacramento$352,250$364,500 $350,000 -3.4%0.6%-19.3%-20.9%
San Benito$595,000$577,000 $555,000 3.1%7.2%-67.6%-72.1%
San Joaquin$375,000$365,000 $350,000 2.7%7.1%-18.7%-11.3%
Stanislaus$305,000$309,000 $295,000 -1.3%3.4%-17.2%-12.1%
Tulare$217,750$236,450 $215,733 -7.9%0.9%-16.8%-16.1%
Other Calif. Counties         
AmadorNANA $330,000 NANANANA
Butte$376,000$356,560r$314,750 5.5%19.5%-34.2%88.9%
Calaveras$335,000$310,000 $306,500 8.1%9.3%-33.7%-28.8%
Del Norte$217,000$243,900 $198,500 -11.0%9.3%58.3%-5.0%
El Dorado$436,500$454,500 $480,000 -4.0%-9.1%-28.1%-29.1%
Humboldt$325,500$308,000 $300,000 5.7%8.5%2.4%-1.2%
Lake$265,000$269,000 $279,000 -1.5%-5.0%-58.9%-44.4%
Lassen$228,500$208,000 $217,750 9.9%4.9%-21.7%-10.0%
Mariposa$284,000$320,000 $276,500 -11.3%2.7%-64.3%-37.5%
Mendocino$384,560$424,900 $425,000 -9.5%-9.5%-11.4%2.6%
Mono$782,000$541,000 $480,000 44.5%62.9%150.0%100.0%
Nevada$402,950$389,950 $382,000 3.3%5.5%-2.1%27.8%
Plumas$308,240$262,950 $265,950 17.2%15.9%-46.2%-30.0%
Shasta$271,720$267,500 $249,000 1.6%9.1%-8.4%12.4%
Siskiyou$151,000$182,500 $193,000 -17.3%-21.8%-28.1%-42.5%
Sutter$291,670$320,000 $284,200 -8.9%2.6%-71.6%-68.1%
Tehama$275,000$255,000 $227,500 7.8%20.9%-9.5%109.4%
Tuolumne$299,500$258,950 $265,000 15.7%13.0%-42.5%-16.4%
Yolo$432,500$429,000 $383,000 0.8%12.9%-17.5%-1.2%
Yuba$320,000$298,000 $265,360 7.4%20.6%-43.2%-20.7%

r = revised

NA = not available

January 2019 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

January 2019Unsold Inventory IndexMedian Time on Market
State/Region/CountyJan. 2019Dec. 2018 Jan. 2018 Jan. 2019Dec.2018 Jan. 2018 
Calif. Single-family home4.63.5 3.6 37.032.0 27.0r
Calif. Condo/Townhome4.53.2 3.0 36.931.1r20.0r
Los Angeles Metro Area5.44.1 4.0 42.036.0 32.0r
Central Coast5.54.3 4.1 36.035.0 32.0 
Central Valley3.93.1 3.2 31.027.0 23.0 
Inland Empire5.74.7 4.4 48.041.5 38.0r
San Francisco Bay Area3.32.1 2.3 36.029.0 17.0r
           
San Francisco Bay Area          
Alameda2.61.7 2.0 27.024.0 13.0 
Contra Costa3.31.9 2.3 33.023.0 16.0 
Marin4.52.5 3.2 50.044.5 54.5 
Napa6.64.5 3.7 81.562.0 57.0 
San Francisco2.71.1 2.2 34.025.0 19.0 
San Mateo2.81.6 2.2 28.020.0 12.0 
Santa Clara3.01.8 1.9 30.022.0 9.0 
Solano4.12.9 2.9 50.044.5 35.0 
Sonoma3.93.2 2.6 69.054.0 38.0 
Southern California          
Los Angeles4.93.5 3.6 36.031.0 25.0 
Orange5.44.0 3.9 39.029.5 28.0 
Riverside6.04.7 4.7 50.041.0 37.0 
San Bernardino5.24.6 3.9 45.042.0 40.0 
San Diego4.63.5 3.4 28.027.0 21.0 
Ventura7.25.5 4.7 59.059.0 58.5 
Central Coast          
Monterey4.95.0 4.0 36.028.0 36.5 
San Luis Obispo6.54.9 4.5 32.037.5 28.0 
Santa Barbara5.74.0 5.0 54.948.5r33.0 
Santa Cruz4.32.8 2.4 39.035.0 32.0 
Central Valley          
Fresno4.53.2 3.7r29.023.0 22.0r
Glenn3.02.3 4.4 47.029.5 54.0r
Kern3.72.8 4.0 30.031.0 27.0 
Kings4.03.5 3.5 42.037.0 27.0 
Madera7.75.7 6.0r41.540.0 41.0 
Merced5.83.6 3.9 46.029.0 25.0 
Placer3.52.6 3.0 36.029.0 22.0 
Sacramento3.02.5 2.4 28.025.0 17.0 
San Benito13.23.1 3.1 67.533.0 33.0 
San Joaquin3.52.9 2.7 31.029.0 25.0 
Stanislaus3.73.1 2.9 33.027.0 26.0 
Tulare5.54.3 4.3 41.029.0 41.0 
Other Calif. Counties          
AmadorNANA 5.8 NANA 58.0 
Butte2.11.2 3.4 8.025.0 29.5 
Calaveras7.14.8 5.3 66.061.5 54.0 
Del Norte6.59.8 5.6 121.0104.0 108.5 
El Dorado4.54.4 4.0 51.042.0 51.0 
Humboldt6.16.0 5.8 38.034.0 42.5 
Lake13.35.3 6.6 87.054.0 55.0 
Lassen5.84.6 6.7 144.0111.0 148.5 
Mariposa13.84.1 7.1 78.059.0 33.5 
Mendocino9.68.5 7.2 59.068.5 84.0 
Mono7.017.5 12.8 64.082.5 120.0 
Nevada4.94.8 5.0 54.042.5 55.0 
Plumas17.08.5 8.6 134.0189.5 139.5 
Shasta4.54.0 4.8 39.038.0 45.0 
Siskiyou10.77.9 5.2 73.548.0 56.0 
Sutter3.21.9 2.6 NA39.0 20.0 
Tehama2.72.8 4.9 73.080.5 77.0 
Tuolumne6.43.8 4.6 53.565.0 59.5 
Yolo3.73.1 3.1 34.534.0 18.0 
Yuba3.52.4 3.6 NA30.0 33.5 

r = revised

NA = not available

Calif. historical home sale and median home price.

California home sales fall to lowest level in more than 10 years, C.A.R. reports

LOS ANGELES (Feb. 20) – Housing demand in California remained subdued for the ninth consecutive month in January as economic and market uncertainties sent home sales to their lowest level since April 2008, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.  

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 357,730 units in January, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2019 if sales maintained the January pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

January’s sales figure was down 3.9 percent from the revised 372,260 level in December and down 12.6 percent from home sales in January 2018 of 409,520. January marked the ninth consecutive month of decline and the sixth month in a row that sales were below 400,000, dipping to the lowest level since April 2008.

“California continued to move toward a more balanced market as we see buyers having greater negotiating power and sellers making concessions to get their homes sold as inventory grows,” said C.A.R. President Jared Martin. “While interest rates have dropped down to the lowest point in 10 months, potential buyers are putting their homeownership plans on hold as they wait out further price adjustments.”

The statewide median home price declined to $538,690 in January. The January statewide median price was down 3.4 percent from $557,600 in December and up 2.1 percent from a revised $527,780 in January 2018.

“While we expected the federal government shutdown during most of January to temporarily interrupt closings because of a delay in loan approvals and income verifications, the impact on January’s home sales was minimal,” said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “The decline in sales was more indicative of demand side issues and was broad and across all price categories and regions of the state. Moreover, growing inventory over the past few months has not translated into more sales.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s January 2019 resale housing report include:

  • On a regionwide, non-seasonally adjusted basis, sales dropped double-digits on a year-over-year basis in the Los Angeles Metro Area, Central Coast, Central Valley and Inland Empire regions, while home sales in the San Francisco Bay Area fell 5.8 percent from a year ago.
  • Forty of the 51 counties reported by C.A.R. posted a sales decline in January with an average year-over-year sales decline of nearly 19 percent. Twenty-eight counties declined by double-digits on an annual basis, and 10 counties experienced an increase in sales from a year ago.
  • After experiencing its worst annual sales drop in more than eight years in December of 17.5 percent, sales in the San Francisco Bay Area bounced back with a more moderate decline of 5.8 percent in January. Home sales in six of the nine Bay Area counties fell from a year ago, and three counties declined by more than 10 percent.
  • The Los Angeles Metro region posted a year-over-year sales drop of 15.1 percent, as home sales fell 14.2 percent in Los Angeles County and 13.2 percent in Orange County.
  • Home sales in the Inland Empire declined 16.1 percent from a year ago as Riverside and San Bernardino counties posted annual sales declines of 13.9 percent and 19.2 percent, respectively.
  • The median home price continued to increase in all regions, though at a slower pace. On a year-over-year basis, the Bay Area median price rose 4.5 percent from January 2018. Home prices in Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties continued to remain above $1 million, but Marin County recorded a 12.8 percent annual price decline.
  • Price growth remained modest in Southern California with the median price higher than the previous year in five of six counties. Only Ventura County experienced a year-over-year price decline.
  • Statewide active listings rose for the 10th consecutive month after nearly three straight years of declines, increasing 27 percent from the previous year.
  • All major regions recorded an increase in active listings, with the Bay Area posting the highest increase at 57 percent, followed by Southern California (29.7 percent), Central Valley (19.5 percent) and the Central Coast (14.5 percent).
  • The Unsold Inventory Index (UII), which is a ratio of inventory over sales, increased year-to-year from 3.6 months in January 2018 to 4.6 months in January 2019. The index measures the number of months it would take to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. The jump in the UII from a year ago can be attributed to the double-digit sales decline and the sharp increase in active listings.
  • The median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home rose from 27 days in January 2018 to 37 days in January 2019.
  • C.A.R.’s statewide sales price-to-list-price ratio* decreased from 98.7 percent in January 2018 to 97.3 percent in January 2019.
  • The average statewide price per square foot** for an existing, single-family home statewide edged up from $257 in January 2018 to $264 in January 2019.
  • The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 4.46 percent in January, up from 4.03 percent in January 2018, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate also increased in January to an average of 3.91 percent from 3.47 from January 2018.
Sales and Price Activity of Dec 2018

南加州2018年12月住房销量骤降

南加州2018年12月房市好冷,住房销量骤降创下2010年来最低纪录,房价也仅小幅上扬。

房地产资讯网站核心逻辑(CoreLogic)30日发布报告称,南加12月完成的住房交易数量,比一年前下降20.3%,创下经济衰退以来12月同期最低水平,也成为2010年以来的最大降幅。与一年前相比,南加州六县住房销量都出现缩水,范杜拉县下滑13.5%,橙县下滑高达26%。

南加州六县中间房价比去年12月小幅增长1.1%,达51万5000元。自房价从2012年4月持续稳步上涨以来,这次房价增幅最小。去年12月的中间房价比去年6月出现的史上新高53万7000元,低2万2000元。

洛县去年12月中间房价提升2%,达58万1500元。橙县中间房价70万8500元,相比一年前上涨1.6%。河滨县中间房价增加4.1%至38万元,圣伯纳汀诺县中间房价增加2.1%至32万9750元。圣地牙哥县中间房价提高到55万元,涨幅1.9%。范杜拉县中间房价上涨2.1%,达57万5000元。

虽然南加中间房价每个月都经历波动,但从30日的报告仍然可以看出,买家因高昂的住房成本而犹豫不决,这导致近期房地产市场出现显着变化。

南加房地产经纪说,多位买家出价争夺同一栋住房的现象不复存在。房价一降再降,相比过去几年的卖方市场行情,如今售出一栋住房需要用更长的时间。

圣盖博谷Century 21房地产公司经纪波麦利(Noel Palmieri)说:「我开始发现房地产走势放缓,我们不再像过去一样有那么多展示卖家住房的机会,住房售出速度没有原来迅速」。

房地产经纪和经济学家认为,上述情况由多种原因导致。房价多年稳步增长,令一些潜在买家如今不再有能力购屋。其他人虽仍能以现在的价格获得住房抵押贷款,但因担心可能在房价处于峰值时购屋,目前仍在观望。

住房销售量下滑,市场房源数量随之上升,进一步限制卖家以高价卖出住房的能力。洛县去年12月的待售房屋数量比一年前增加22%,橙县上市住房数量增30%。

August 2018 home sales and price reports

California’s housing market falters for fourth straight month as high home prices take toll on demand, C.A.R. reports

September 17, 2018

– Existing, single-family home sales totaled 399,600 in August on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, down 1.8 percent from July and down 6.6 percent from August 2017.

– August’s statewide median home price was $596,410, up 0.8 percent from July and up 5.5 percent from August 2017.

– Statewide active listings rose for the fifth consecutive month, increasing 17.2 percent from the previous year.

LOS ANGELES (Sept. 17) – California’s housing market dropped below the 400,000-level sales benchmark for the first time in more than two years as high home prices and eroding affordability combined to cut into housing demand, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today.

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 399,600 units in August, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2018 if sales maintained the August pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

August’s sales figure was down 1.8 percent from the revised 406,920 level in July and down 6.6 percent compared with home sales in August 2017 of 427,630.

“Home sales activity remained on a downward trend for the fourth straight month as uncertainty about the housing market continues to mount,” said C.A.R. President Steve White. “Buyers are being cautious and reluctant to make a commitment as they are concerned that home prices may have peaked and instead are waiting until there’s more clarity in the market.”

The statewide median home price edged up to $596,410 in August. The August statewide median price was up 0.8 percent from $591,460 in July and up 5.5 percent from a revised $565,320 in August 2017.

“While home prices continued to rise modestly in August, the deceleration in price growth and the surge in housing supply suggest that a market shift is underway,” said C.A.R. Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “We are seeing active listings increasing and more price reductions in the market, and as such, the question remains, ‘How long will it take for the market to close the price expectation gap between buyers and sellers?’”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s August 2018 resale housing report include:

  • On a regionwide, non-seasonally adjusted basis, the Southern California region led the state’s sales decline, falling 8.0 percent from a year ago. San Diego experienced a double-digit decline of 10.4 percent, while Orange and Los Angeles counties posted smaller declines of 9.7 percent and 8.9 percent, respectively.
  • Sales in the Bay Area inched up 0.3 percent from July and declined 6.5 percent from August 2017. While Marin and Napa counties posted significant gains, they make up a small percentage of the region’s overall sales. Every other Bay Area county experienced a sales decline with San Mateo performing relatively better than the others, recording a modest 1.8 percent annual decline. San Francisco County saw a double-digit sales drop, and sales in Santa Clara County decreased 8.2 percent. Sales in Contra Costa County were down by more than 10 percent in August, while Solano and Sonoma fell by 8.9 percent and 7.7 percent, respectively.
  • Sales in the Inland Empire were down 5.6 percent from a year ago, with Riverside and San Bernardino counties recording an annual sales decline of 6.6 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively.
  • Although Kern and Merced counties posted annual sales gains slightly better than 10 percent, sales for the Central Valley Region as a whole were down 5.5 percent from a year ago. Every other county of the region was flat or down from a year ago.
  • The Bay Area continues to see prices climb ever-higher with many markets experiencing double-digit growth in closed-sale prices. However, this may be a reflection of the fact that most of the growth in transactions has come from the top end of the market, which could cause larger swings in the median price. Alameda, Napa, San Francisco, Santa Clara, and Solano counties all recorded double-digit, year-over-year price gains.
  • Home prices in Southern California also rose even as sales faltered. That home prices continue to rise modestly suggests that demand has not eroded completely, rather it has eased slightly. Every county in the region recorded price growth from a year ago.
  • Statewide active listings rose for the fifth consecutive month after 33 straight months of declines, increasing 17.2 percent from the previous year. August’s listings increase was the biggest in nearly four years.
  • Much of the listings increase is attributable to lower-priced properties. The number of homes available for sale and priced below $750,000 grew more than twice as much as homes priced above that price level.
  • The unsold inventory index, which is a ratio of inventory over sales, rose again in August from 2.9 months from August 2017 to 3.3 months in August 2018. The index measures the number of months it would take to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.
  • The median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home ticked up from 18 days in August 2017 to 21 days in August 2018.
  • C.A.R.’s statewide sales price-to-list price ratio* was essentially flat from a year ago at 99.5 days in August 2017 compared with 99.0 percent in August 2018. At the other end of the spectrum, the sales price-to-list price ratio in nearly every county of the Bay Area exceeded 100 percent, indicating a tight supply of available homes for sale.
  • The average statewide price per square foot** for an existing, single-family home statewide was $283 in August, up from $268 in August 2017.
  • The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rates averaged 4.55 percent in August, up from 3.88 percent in August 2017, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate also increased in August to an average of 3.87 percent from 3.15 from August 2017.

Note:  The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only. County sales data are not adjusted to account for seasonal factors that can influence home sales.  Movements in sales prices should not be interpreted as changes in the cost of a standard home.  The median price is where half sold for more and half sold for less; medians are more typical than average prices, which are skewed by a relatively small share of transactions at either the lower-end or the upper-end. Median prices can be influenced by changes in cost, as well as changes in the characteristics and the size of homes sold.  The change in median prices should not be construed as actual price changes in specific homes.

*Sales-to-list price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and home sellers under current market conditions. The ratio is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price and is expressed as a percentage.  A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, and a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

**Price per square foot is a measure commonly used by real estate agents and brokers to determine how much a square foot of space a buyer will pay for a property.  It is calculated as the sale price of the home divided by the number of finished square feet.  C.A.R. currently tracks price-per-square foot statistics for 50 counties.

Leading the way…® in California real estate for more than 110 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States with more than 190,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

August 2018 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

August 2018 Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes Sales
State/Region/County August 2018 July

2018

August 2017 Price MTM% Chg Price YTY% Chg Sales MTM% Chg Sales YTY% Chg
Calif. Single-family home $596,410 $591,460 $565,320 r 0.8% 5.5% -1.8% -6.6%
Calif. Condo/Townhome $474,570 $486,330 $446,850 r -2.4% 6.2% 2.1% -7.2%
Los Angeles Metro Area $525,000 $535,000 $500,000 r -1.9% 5.0% 3.2% -7.5%
Inland Empire $356,000 $365,000 $337,000 r -2.5% 5.6% 4.6% -5.6%
San Francisco Bay Area $935,000 $980,000 $850,000 -4.6% 10.0% 0.3% -6.5%
Central Coast $675,280 $700,000 $635,000 -3.5% 6.3% 11.0% -0.4%
Central Valley $325,000 $328,250 $311,000 -1.0% 4.5% 5.0% -5.5%
San Francisco Bay Area
Alameda $960,000 $970,000 $867,500 -1.0% 10.7% -8.7% -6.7%
Contra Costa $650,000 $680,000 $627,860 -4.4% 3.5% -5.2% -10.1%
Marin $1,222,500 $1,325,000 $1,207,120 -7.7% 1.3% 9.9% 15.4%
Napa $752,500 $727,000 $654,000 3.5% 15.1% 7.8% 17.0%
San Francisco $1,550,000 $1,650,000 $1,380,000 -6.1% 12.3% -2.7% -10.3%
San Mateo $1,500,000 $1,610,000 $1,375,000 -6.8% 9.1% -6.0% -1.8%
Santa Clara $1,295,000 $1,351,000 $1,150,000 -4.1% 12.6% 7.9% -8.2%
Solano $455,000 $454,000 $410,000 0.2% 11.0% 6.4% -8.9%
Sonoma $670,000 $650,000 $625,500 3.1% 7.1% 16.8% -7.7%
Southern California
Los Angeles $607,490 $597,520 $570,720 1.7% 6.4% 5.5% -8.9%
Orange $838,500 $829,000 $789,000 1.1% 6.3% -2.9% -9.7%
Riverside $400,750 $408,000 $388,500 -1.8% 3.2% -2.0% -6.6%
San Bernardino $290,000 $292,000 $269,950 -0.7% 7.4% 15.4% -4.3%
San Diego $660,000 $650,000 $605,000 1.5% 9.1% -1.1% -10.4%
Ventura $660,000 $662,360 $640,000 -0.4% 3.1% -0.6% -2.9%
Central Coast
Monterey $599,000 $655,500 $580,500 -8.6% 3.2% 8.8% -6.7%
San Luis Obispo $630,000 $650,000 $599,000 -3.1% 5.2% 15.0% 3.0%
Santa Barbara $572,500 $550,000 $631,000 4.1% -9.3% 15.5% -2.8%
Santa Cruz $917,500 $898,000 $825,000 2.2% 11.2% 2.2% 6.8%
Central Valley
Fresno $280,000 $280,000 $260,000 r 0.0% 7.7% 7.2% -9.0%
Glenn $225,500 $235,000 $225,000 -4.0% 0.2% -29.4% -40.0%
Kern $247,000 $250,000 $235,100 -1.2% 5.1% 6.5% 10.3%
Kings $227,750 $224,975 $225,000 1.2% 1.2% 9.8% 0.9%
Madera $254,900 $250,000 $258,450 r 2.0% -1.4% -1.4% -27.8%
Merced $288,396 $267,450 $250,000 7.8% 15.4% 16.3% 10.6%
Placer $475,000 $495,000 $462,000 -4.0% 2.8% 6.8% -11.5%
Sacramento $369,950 $370,000 $348,000 0.0% 6.3% 4.3% -2.2%
San Benito $575,000 $626,500 $600,000 -8.2% -4.2% -13.0% -40.3%
San Joaquin $380,000 $370,000 $355,000 2.7% 7.0% 1.8% -12.3%
Stanislaus $319,900 $325,000 $294,290 -1.6% 8.7% 13.2% -4.3%
Tulare $239,000 $239,000 $224,900 0.0% 6.3% -7.1% -1.3%
Other Calif. Counties
Amador NA NA $334,500 NA NA NA NA
Butte $315,000 $315,000 $291,000 0.0% 8.2% 14.1% -1.0%
Calaveras $340,000 $330,000 $345,000 r 3.0% -1.4% 19.0% -0.8%
Del Norte $249,900 $210,000 $214,950 19.0% 16.3% -8.7% -19.2%
El Dorado $480,000 $504,000 $485,000 -4.8% -1.0% -6.2% -12.3%
Humboldt $315,000 $310,000 $316,750 1.6% -0.6% 4.2% 4.2%
Lake $265,000 $249,950 $241,500 6.0% 9.7% 17.1% -7.3%
Lassen $192,500 $185,000 $215,000 4.1% -10.5% 0.0% 32.0%
Mariposa $315,000 $325,500 $280,000 -3.2% 12.5% -18.2% -43.8%
Mendocino $430,000 $393,750 $402,500 9.2% 6.8% -8.1% 5.6%
Mono $880,000 $899,500 $386,500 -2.2% 127.7% 25.0% 25.0%
Nevada $420,000 $419,500 $375,000 0.1% 12.0% 0.7% 7.8%
Plumas $292,250 $290,000 $325,000 0.8% -10.1% 6.7% -5.9%
Shasta $286,000 $280,000 $252,450 2.1% 13.3% 16.3% 4.5%
Siskiyou $216,000 $223,000 $212,000 -3.1% 1.9% 20.8% 26.1%
Sutter $310,000 $294,500 $289,000 5.3% 7.3% 12.9% -18.6%
Tehama $208,500 $223,000 $225,000 -6.5% -7.3% 15.2% -7.3%
Tuolumne $331,365 $315,000 $292,000 5.2% 13.5% -5.6% -17.6%
Yolo $450,000 $430,000 $445,000 4.7% 1.1% 2.0% -13.2%
Yuba $269,000 $289,000 $265,000 -6.9% 1.5% 12.6% 32.1%

r = revised

NA = not available

 

August 2018 County Unsold Inventory and Time on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

August 2018 Unsold Inventory Index Median Time on Market
State/Region/County August 2018 July 2018 August 2017 August 2018 July 2018 August 2017
Calif. Single-family home 3.3 3.3 2.9 r 21.0 18.0 18.0
Calif. Condo/Townhome 2.7 2.7 2.2 18.0 16.0 14.0
Los Angeles Metro Area 3.6 3.7 3.1 25.0 23.0 22.0
Inland Empire 3.8 3.9 3.3 31.0 29.0 25.0
San Francisco Bay Area 2.3 2.2 1.9 18.0 15.0 15.0
Central Coast 3.8 4.2 3.8 25.0 20.0 24.0
Central Valley 3.0 3.0 2.7 16.0 15.0 14.0
San Francisco Bay Area
Alameda 2.0 1.7 1.6 14.0 13.0 13.0
Contra Costa 2.2 2.0 1.9 15.0 14.0 13.0
Marin 2.7 2.9 2.9 r 34.0 24.0 39.0
Napa 4.3 4.4 4.6 35.5 44.0 49.5
San Francisco 2.2 1.6 1.7 17.0 15.0 15.0
San Mateo 2.1 1.6 1.7 12.0 12.0 11.0
Santa Clara 2.0 2.2 1.5 13.0 11.0 9.5
Solano 2.6 2.8 2.2 32.0 32.0 34.0
Sonoma 3.4 3.9 2.6 37.0 36.0 37.0 r
Southern California
Los Angeles 3.4 3.5 2.8 19.0 18.0 18.0
Orange 3.5 3.5 3.1 22.0 19.0 22.0
Riverside 3.8 3.6 3.2 31.5 28.0 26.0
San Bernardino 3.8 4.3 3.4 30.0 29.0 24.0
San Diego 3.4 3.2 2.6 18.0 14.0 14.0
Ventura 4.9 4.9 4.4 50.5 43.0 46.0
Central Coast
Monterey 4.1 4.4 4.2 23.0 24.0 26.0
San Luis Obispo 3.8 4.5 3.9 31.0 23.5 23.0
Santa Barbara 4.0 4.6 3.7 31.0 25.0 26.0
Santa Cruz 3.1 3.1 3.3 17.5 13.0 20.0
Central Valley
Fresno 3.1 3.1 2.9 r 13.0 13.0 14.0 r
Glenn 6.9 4.3 4.2 64.5 20.0 47.5
Kern 2.9 3.1 3.3 17.0 20.0 19.0
Kings 2.8 3.0 2.4 23.0 22.5 21.0
Madera 5.4 5.1 4.4 r 41.0 27.0 33.0
Merced 2.7 2.9 2.6 17.0 25.0 15.0
Placer 2.8 2.9 2.5 17.0 14.5 14.0
Sacramento 2.7 2.6 2.4 14.0 12.0 11.0
San Benito 4.4 3.3 2.6 38.0 12.5 28.0
San Joaquin 3.1 2.8 2.5 17.0 15.0 14.0
Stanislaus 2.9 3.2 2.4 16.0 16.0 14.0
Tulare 3.8 3.4 3.7 28.0 23.0 23.0
Other Calif. Counties
Amador NA NA 6.0 NA NA 39.0
Butte 3.0 3.4 2.5 18.0 18.0 17.5
Calaveras 5.2 5.9 4.8 61.0 40.0 27.5
Del Norte 6.7 6.1 7.2 125.0 82.0 90.5
El Dorado 4.0 3.7 3.5 37.5 28.0 38.0
Humboldt 5.5 5.7 4.9 22.0 19.0 19.0
Lake 5.5 6.3 5.1 40.0 38.0 24.0
Lassen 5.8 5.8 8.1 65.0 93.0 91.0
Mariposa 9.1 6.5 4.8 28.0 52.0 66.5
Mendocino 8.4 7.8 6.6 54.0 59.5 66.0
Mono 7.5 9.1 9.2 84.0 78.5 74.0
Nevada 4.5 4.6 3.9 24.0 23.0 19.0
Plumas 8.1 8.7 8.0 94.0 66.0 94.0
Shasta 4.0 4.5 4.1 32.0 18.0 21.0
Siskiyou 5.7 6.8 6.9 29.0 32.0 52.0
Sutter 3.1 3.5 2.8 18.0 15.0 21.0
Tehama 6.8 7.5 6.4 53.5 38.0 60.0
Tuolumne 5.7 5.1 4.4 32.0 22.0 29.0
Yolo 2.8 2.7 2.4 14.0 11.0 13.5
Yuba 2.6 2.6 3.0 18.0 13.0 13.0

r = revised

NA = not available